Why is Ukraine pushing a plan it knows is a non starter
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Why Does Ukraine Persist with a Peace Plan That Russia Rejects and the West Hesitates to Guarantee? 💡
Ukraine is pushing a peace plan that Moscow dismisses out of hand and Western powers are reluctant to fully back. We analyze the hidden strategy behind Kyiv's proposal: This is not a case of naivety, but a sophisticated "high-starting" geopolitical move. We examine how Ukraine, the EU, and the UK are using this plan as a bulwark against a potential Trump-Putin deal that could bypass European interests.
📉 From the Counteroffensive to Diplomatic Gridlock
The 2023 Disillusionment: How the overestimation of Western hardware (Leopard, Challenger) and the underestimation of the "Surovikin Line" led to the current strategic war of attrition.
The Shadow of Trump: Kyiv's urgent need to establish its own negotiating framework before Washington imposes a "Finlandization" or neutrality on Ukraine without its consent.
⚖️ The Insurmountable Obstacles
Territorial "Red Lines": The demand for a return to the 1991 borders and full troop withdrawal makes the plan a non-starter for Moscow, which insists on its own "28-point" counter-proposals.
The Guarantee Stumbling Block: Why "Point 5"—which envisions security guarantees mirroring NATO's Article 5—alarms the US due to the risk of direct nuclear escalation.
The European Stance: The EU supports the plan not necessarily as a viable solution, but as a political survival mechanism and a tool for "ideological exoneration" for its own strategic failures.
🏛️ Europe and the "Day After"
A Diplomatic Fortress: How London and Brussels utilize the Ukrainian proposal to maintain a seat at the decision-making table, preventing a bilateral US-Russia settlement.
Economic Interests: The "Re-Arm EU" initiative and the prospect of Ukraine serving as the eastern bastion of the European defense industrial base.
🏁 Conclusion: A "Zombie" Proposal?
The plan serves as a mirror reflecting the distance between international law and raw geopolitical power. It is a pressure tactic designed to force Russia to show its hand while simultaneously preparing the ground for the painful compromises of the future.
💬 Conclusion & Call to Action
Is the Zelenskyy plan the only just solution, or a dangerous obstacle prolonging the war? Can Europe guarantee Ukraine's security without the US? Let us know in the comments! 👇
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