The Great Strategic Shock
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Europe is experiencing a tectonic rift! 💡
The new US National Security Strategy (NSS) for 2025 brings a definitive end to the era of "imported security." We analyze the strategic shock of a continent called to survive without Washington’s automatic protection, the dangerous "Strategic Scissors" effect between bellicose rhetoric and military absence, and the violent deindustrialization threatening European prosperity.
📉 The Collapse of an 80-Year Model
USA: From Protector to "Selective Guarantor": For eight decades, Europe invested in the welfare state instead of defense. Now, Washington is shifting the weight of Atlas off its shoulders, adopting a transactional logic: If Europe considers Russia a threat, it must manage it with its own means.
The "Strategic Scissors": While European leaders harden their rhetoric against Moscow (moral revanchism), the continent’s industrial and military power remains stagnant. This widening gap risks a humiliating strategic accident.
New Protagonists & Marginalization: The US is "bypassing" France and Germany, turning instead toward Poland and the Baltic states, which are willing to assume the costs and risks of the front line.
🏗️ Economic Hemorrhage & Social Impact
Energy Hostage & Deindustrialization: The severance from Russian gas and the reliance on expensive American LNG is driving major enterprises to flee to the US. The "America First" doctrine is now being implemented at the expense of European competitiveness.
Class Inequalities & Brain Drain:
The North: Facing the threat of unemployment in heavy industry.
The South: Workers bear the burden of a militarized economy that drains resources from education and healthcare.
Scientific Flight: The most productive forces are abandoning the continent for the US or Asia as Europe misses the "technological train."
🎯 The Existential Dilemma
This strategic shock forces Europe to choose: True military and political autonomy at a massive economic cost, or complete marginalization as a declining satellite with no say in global planning?
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